Will social security be there when I retire? Probably, but with caveats
One common refrain I’ve heard is that today’s young adults don’t (or can’t) expect Social Security (the combined Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Trust Funds) to be there when we’re older. I understand that sentiment. There are very serious issues facing Social Security. Unless changes are made, we can’t keep paying out benefits the way we have been. (See this CNN Money series that explains the system).
But I don’t believe in the knee-jerk response that Social Security is dead! or that we are only going to get a few pennies when we reach our dotage. Government retirement / disability insurance is a valuable safety net for the disabled and seniors, even though I am still 40 years away from retirement age, I expect some form of Social Security payment to be there when I retire.
Safety net, not the whole kit and caboodle
Expecting some form of Social Security, however, doesn’t mean that I expect 100% of my benefits nor do I expect the government retirement insurance to be my only source of income in retirement. In fact, the Social Security Statement (an annual statement that is mailed about 3 months before your birthday) that I received last year tells it pretty much like it is:
…Social Security was never intended to be your only source of income when you retire. You also will need other savings, investments, pensions or retirement accounts to make sure you have enough money to live comfortably when you retire.
…the Social Security system is facing serious financial problems, and action is needed soon to make sure the system will be sound when today’s young workers are ready for retirement. In 2017 we will begin paying more in benefits than we collect in taxes. Without changes, by 2041 the Social Security Trust Fund will be exhausted and there will be enough money to pay only about 78 cents for each dollar of scheduled benefits.
These are sobering facts. Still, 3/4 payout of scheduled benefits (or even 1/2 payout) is a far cry from the dire prediction of absolutely zero benefits. Of course, many things can happen in the next 30 to 40 years, but I think it’s more likely that Congress will enact changes, such as means-testing for benefits, increasing eligibility age, lowering benefits, increasing the income that can be taxed under Social Security, etc. than allowing the entire system to go “bankrupt.”
What you can learn from your Social Security Statement
Looking through my Statement was quite interesting – it detailed the years I worked and my taxed earnings, the basis for which my future benefits will be calculated. According to my statement, I do not qualify for retirement benefits or Medicare benefits (although I have qualified for disability benefits) because I’ve only been working for a few years. You need 40 credits to get retirement benefits – a maximum of 4 credits per year. Every year, the income needed to get each credit changes – for example, in 2009 you would earn 1 credit for each $1,090 of income. That means if you’ve earned $4,360, you will have earned the full 4 credits.
Apparently, I only have 17 credits, but of course as I work more I expect to very quickly reach retirement payment eligibility. Now I understand why people who have stepped away from full-time work are penalized under the system – not only are Social Security benefits calculated from your total income, your own eligibility is determined by the number of years you’ve worked.
My bottom line on Social Security
Nobody knows what today’s 25-year-olds will get in terms of Social Security in 40 years, just like nobody knows if any one particular 25-year-old will live to retirement age. But I feel comfortable expecting something (both in terms of getting some Social Security, and living long enough for that to be a concern to me!). It’s too soon for me to incorporate estimated benefits into my planning, however. As I come closer to retirement I will take Social Security payments in account, but for right now I will continue to save as aggressively as I can for retirement.
Do you expect Social Security when you retire?
image source: socialsecurityretirementincome.com








